sassa_nf ([personal profile] sassa_nf) wrote in [personal profile] juan_gandhi 2020-02-10 07:08 am (UTC)

"где именно модели должны расходиться с реальностью?
... они так сделаны и настроены"

The result of fitting and tuning is a p-value showing how well each model matches the reality. Or what measure do they use?

This is because it never matches the reality exactly. Because it is not an interpolation of the data.

* the reality here is the historic record.

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